Sunday, May 11, 2025

Operation Sindoor vs. Operation Bunyan Ul Marsoos: A Strategic Analysis


By Anupam Srivastava


In the evolving landscape of Global geopolitics, the recent military engagements between India and Pakistan have marked a significant shift in regional dynamics. Operation Sindoor, launched by India, and Pakistan's retaliatory Operation Bunyan Ul Marsoos have not only redefined military strategies but also highlighted the changing contours of international diplomacy, economic considerations, and societal impacts.


Strategic Autonomy and Diplomatic Realignment


Traditionally, India has sought international support through forums like the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) when responding to cross-border terrorism. Even an intrusion by tribals and the Pakistani army was taken to the UN by the then highly rated prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru in 1948.


However, Operation Sindoor signaled a departure from this approach. India chose to act decisively without seeking validation from the global powers, demonstrating a newfound strategic autonomy. This move reflects India's growing confidence in its military capabilities and a shift towards a more assertive foreign policy stance.


In contrast, Pakistan's response, Operation Bunyan Ul Marsoos, was marked by a series of retaliatory strikes. Pakistan took the matter to the UN. While these actions were framed as a defense of sovereignty, they also underscored Pakistan's reliance on international diplomatic channels, as evidenced by its appeals to countries like the US, Saudi Arabia,Iran and China for mediation. This juxtaposition highlights the differing diplomatic approaches of the two nations in addressing regional security concerns.


Targeting Terrorist Infrastructure and State Sponsorship


Operation Sindoor was characterized by precision strikes on terrorist infrastructure, including camps associated with groups like Jaish-e-Mohammed and Lashkar-e-Taiba. The operation aimed to dismantle the operational capabilities of these groups and send a clear message about India's commitment to countering terrorism. The presence of terrorism infrastructure inside Pakistan will remain a concern if not addressed by international powers unitedly. Today, India is fighting against this infrastructure of terrorism alone, but when other countries of the world feel the heat, they would be forced to act decisively against such infrastructure sheltered by the government of Pakistan, abolishing the distinction between state and non-state actors.


Pakistan's Operation Bunyan Ul Marsoos, while  targeting  military sites, faced criticism for alleged civilian casualties and damage to non-military infrastructure. The international community expressed concern over the humanitarian impact of these strikes, emphasizing the need for adherence to international humanitarian law during military operations.


Economic Considerations Amid Military Engagements


An intriguing aspect of the conflict was Pakistan's simultaneous negotiation for an IMF loan during the military escalations. This development raised questions about the economic stability of a nation engaged in active military operations. The juxtaposition of seeking financial assistance while conducting military strikes highlighted the complex interplay between economic vulnerabilities and military ambitions. The world powers rallied behind Pakistan to grant the loan so that they could dissuade Pakistan from escalating the situation. This attitude of world powers shows that they are getting blackmailed by nuclear rhetoric of rogue country and West have not learned their lessons to act against terrorism and terrorists and their backers. If this continues, soon Europe would see acts of terrorism more than anywhere else. Britain has started feeling the heat of Islamic terrorism. However, this operation showed the double standards practiced by the West when it comes to terrorism in their country and in other countries.


India, on the other hand, demonstrated economic resilience, with its defense expenditures supported by a growing economy. The ability to finance military operations without significant external assistance underscored India's strengthened economic position in the region.

Societal Impacts and International Reactions


The societal impact of these operations was profound. In India, the strikes were met with nationalistic fervor, with public support for the government's actions. The naming of the operation, "Sindoor," symbolized the targeting of newlywed Hindu couples in the Pahalgam attack, resonating deeply with the Indian populace. Everyone connected with families of those who lost their beloved in the dastardly act of terrorism on April 22.


In Pakistan, the retaliatory strikes led to casualties, sparking protests and calls for accountability. Just to satisfy ego, General Asif Munir was ready to force Pakistan into a war. The Pakistanis knew it well. The common Pakistani was worried about his daily bread rather than fighting a war. Then, the international community expressed concern over the escalation of violence and the potential for further destabilization in the region. Humanitarian organizations called for restraint and adherence to international norms to protect civilian lives.


Military Capabilities and Technological Advancements


Both operations showcased advancements in military technology. India employed precision-guided munitions, including SCALP and Hammer missiles, launched from Rafale jets, to execute targeted strikes. The use of advanced technology highlighted India's growing defense capabilities and its ability to conduct precise military operations. The way Indian missiles destroyed seven airbases, including that of Rahimyar Khan and Sargodha, sent shockwaves through Pakistan. No military installation was out of reach of India. The Indians demonstrated pinpoint strike capabilities to the world, which left defense analysts baffled because it was the first time a non-Western country was demonstrating such pinpoint precision strikes with mostly indigenous weapons. The way India downed more than 700 drones and five aircraft of Pakistan was remarkable. It was despite the fact that Pakistan was operating its drones and aircraft internationally without closing its airspace.


Pakistan's response involved missile and drone attacks on Indian cities, mainly coming from equipment supplied by China and Turkey. While these strikes demonstrated Pakistan's drone capabilities, the lack of significant impact raised questions about the effectiveness of its military strategy. The absence of substantial damage to critical infrastructure suggested limitations in Pakistan's technological advancements compared to India. The downing of five JF-17 planes by India has forced Pakistan to think about trusting Chinese technology. The failure of all drone attacks by Pakistan also put a question mark on the capabilities and quality of Turkish drones. However, the AkashTir Air Defense system performed better than the Iron Dome. In the days to come, this system would be in huge demand internationally.


Media Narratives and Information Warfare


The role of media in shaping public perception during these operations was significant. In India, media coverage largely supported the government's actions, portraying the strikes as a necessary response to terrorism. The portrayal of the operations in the media reinforced nationalistic sentiments and bolstered public support.


In Pakistan, media coverage was more critical, focusing on the Islamic rhetoric against the humanitarian impact of the strikes and questioning the legitimacy of the targets. The differing media narratives in both countries underscored the role of information warfare in modern conflicts, where controlling the narrative can influence domestic and international opinions. The Pakistani narrative was mainly based on playing the victim card and approaching the Muslim Ummah and the West for financial help.


The Role of International Diplomacy and Future Prospects


The escalation of hostilities between India and Pakistan drew the attention of the international community. Diplomatic efforts, led by countries like the United States, sought to mediate and de-escalate tensions. The eventual ceasefire agreement highlighted the importance of international diplomacy in managing conflicts between nuclear-armed nations.


Looking ahead, Operation Sindoor has set a bold precedent in India’s counterterrorism strategy, showcasing a clear resolve to not just eliminate terrorists but also dismantle their infrastructure, target their backers, and expose their sympathizers—whether state or non-state actors. It represents a doctrinal shift toward proactive defense and strategic clarity. In contrast, Operation Bunyan Ul Marsoos reflects Pakistan’s reliance on Islamic rhetoric and emotional appeals to the Muslim Ummah, while simultaneously leveraging its nuclear arsenal as a tool of blackmail to secure economic bailouts from the West. This operation, rather than showcasing military prowess, revealed Pakistan’s deep economic vulnerabilities and its waning credibility on the global stage. The divergence between the two operations marks a new phase in South Asian security—one where India asserts hard power backed by economic resilience, while Pakistan struggles to sustain influence through outdated strategies of fear and faith-based diplomacy.


Anupam Srivastava is a  Special Correspondent with Hindustan Times with special interest in defense analysis with expertise in South Asian security affairs,  military strategy and international relations in the region.

Tuesday, June 18, 2024

Uttar Pradesh: Prestige at Stake of Parties in By-Polls - By Anupam Srivastava

 


Uttar Pradesh: Prestige at Stake of Parties in By-Polls - By Anupam Srivastava 


In Uttar Pradesh, nine legislators have won Lok Sabha seats, and the membership of one MLA is likely to be canceled. Consequently, 8 assembly seats will see by-elections in the coming days, posing a significant test for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).


Lok Sabha Election Results and Assembly By-elections:


The Lok Sabha election results have revealed the true extent of BJP's hold over the electorate. Despite its ambitious "Mission-80" slogan, the BJP secured only 33 seats. Together with its allies, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) managed to win 36 seats, while the opposition alliance of the Samajwadi Party (SP) and Congress won 43 seats. Additionally, Chandrashekhar of the Azad Samaj Party triumphed in the Nagina Lok Sabha seat.


Several legislators from both BJP and SP contested the Lok Sabha elections, and with nine of them becoming MPs, the stage is set for assembly by-elections in Uttar Pradesh. All nine new MPs have vacated their assembly seats. Furthermore, the Sisamau assembly seat in Kanpur will also be vacant, as its SP MLA Irfan Solanki has been sentenced to seven years in prison for arson. Therefore, by-elections will be held for 10 assembly seats, challenging the BJP's influence.


Key Contests in Assembly By-elections:


1. Milkipur Assembly Seat:

   An aggressive contest is expected in Milkipur, Ayodhya, which BJP aims to capture from SP. Former BJP MLA Baba Gorakhnath, Ramu Priyadarshi, Neeraj Kanaujia, Kashiram Rawat, Radheshyam Tyagi, Chandrabhanu Paswan, Laxmi Rawat, and Bablu Pasi are among the contenders. SP's potential candidate is Ajit Prasad, son of Awadhesh Prasad.


2. Karhal Assembly Seat:

   After Akhilesh Yadav's resignation, the Karhal seat holds strategic importance for SP. Akhilesh's nephew Tej Pratap Yadav might contest from here. It remains to be seen who BJP will field in this crucial seat. In the 2022 assembly elections, Agra MP S. P. Singh Baghel contested against Akhilesh Yadav in Karhal.


3. Katehari Assembly Seat:

   SP MLA Lalji Verma vacated this seat after winning the Ambedkar Nagar Lok Sabha seat. His wife Shobhavati Verma is a prominent candidate. The BJP's NDA ally Nishad Party is eyeing this seat, as its candidate Awadhesh Kumar narrowly lost to Verma in 2022.


4. Kundarki Assembly Seat:

   SP MLA Zia-ur-Rahman, now an MP from Sambhal, vacated this seat. It is significant for the BJP.


5. Khair Assembly Seat:

   BJP MLA and state Revenue Minister Anup Pradhan Valmiki won the Hathras (Reserved) Lok Sabha seat.


6. Phulpur and Ghaziabad Assembly Seats:

   BJP MLAs Praveen Patel and Atul Garg won the Phulpur and Ghaziabad Lok Sabha seats, respectively.


7. Mirpur Assembly Seat:

   RLD MLA Chandan Chauhan won the Bijnor Lok Sabha seat. With RLD chief Jayant Chaudhary joining the central cabinet, ensuring victory here will be crucial for the party, whether the candidate is from RLD or BJP.


Opposition Strategy:


In the by-elections, the SP and Congress alliance is preparing to give a tough fight. They performed exceptionally well in the Lok Sabha elections and aim to replicate their success in the assembly by-elections. Congress has shown interest in fielding candidates on some of these seats.


Political analyst and Head of the Department of Political Science at Lucknow University, Professor Manuka Khanna, stated, “The way Rahul Gandhi and Akhilesh Yadav have won the trust of the public with a positive message, both leaders will aim to maintain this momentum in the assembly by-elections. SP and Congress will strive to win as many seats as possible to prove that their strong performance in the Lok Sabha elections was no fluke.”


If an alliance is formed for the assembly by-elections, Khair, Ghaziabad, and Majhwan assembly seats might go to Congress.


Manuka Khanna added, “The upcoming assembly by-elections in Uttar Pradesh are crucial not only for the BJP but also for the SP and Congress. This election presents an opportunity for all political parties that did not perform well in the Lok Sabha elections. The BJP will have to work hard to maintain its hold, while SP and Congress will try to capitalize on this opportunity. Hence, the politics of Uttar Pradesh will once again witness enthusiasm and competition, potentially leading to new developments in the state's political landscape.”





Saturday, June 15, 2024

Internal Conflict Between BJP Leaders Sanjeev Balyan and Sangeet Som Affects Party in Western Uttar Pradesh -Anupam Srivastava

 

By Anupam Srivastava 



In Western Uttar Pradesh, the escalating conflict between BJP stalwarts Sanjeev Balyan and Sangeet Som has become a significant issue for the party. This internal strife surfaced prominently during the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, impacting the BJP’s performance in the region.j

Prime Minister Narendra Modi had initiated the BJP’s election campaign in Western UP from the Meerut Lok Sabha seat on March 31, considering it a lucky constituency for the party. Modi had launched campaigns from Meerut in both the 2014 and 2019 elections, leading to strong performances by the BJP in the state.

Modi's choice to start the 2024 campaign from Meerut was aimed at consolidating Jat votes, a critical demographic in Western UP. The event, held at the Central Potato Research Institute in Modipuram, highlighted the new alliance between the BJP and Jayant Chaudhary’s Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD). Sanjeev Balyan, the BJP candidate from the neighboring Muzaffarnagar constituency, was present, relying heavily on Jat voter consolidation.

However, since the 2022 assembly elections, tensions had been brewing between Balyan and former BJP MLA from Sardhana, Sangeet Som. Som's supporters accused Balyan of sabotaging his assembly election campaign, which led to a rift. The conflict intensified as Balyan's convoy was attacked just two days before Modi's rally, with Balyan’s supporters blaming Som for the incident.

The internal discord was well known to the BJP's top leadership. Following Modi's rally in Meerut, a meeting was held in a Swiss cottage behind the stage, involving Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, state BJP President Bhupendra Chaudhary, Balyan, and Som. Despite the half-hour discussion, no resolution was reached, and the animosity persisted throughout the election period.

Post-elections, Balyan faced a significant defeat in Muzaffarnagar, losing to Samajwadi Party (SP) candidate Harendra Singh Malik by 24,672 votes. Malik had campaigned vigorously against Balyan, highlighting his shortcomings in various villages. Additionally, the Jat and Muslim voters' consolidation in favor of SP contributed to Balyan's defeat.

Balyan did not take his defeat lightly, alleging internal sabotage by BJP members. He specifically pointed fingers at Som, accusing him of aiding the SP. Balyan publicly called for an investigation into these allegations and criticized the party leadership for allowing 'traitors' to hold high positions within the BJP.

In response, Som held a press conference defending his role and performance in the Sardhana constituency, where the BJP performed well. He urged Balyan to introspect and accused him of corruption, further deepening the divide.

The feud between Balyan and Som, both prominent figures since the 2013 Muzaffarnagar riots, significantly undermined the BJP’s discipline and electoral prospects in Western UP. Analysts note that the BJP’s internal conflict, coupled with voter dissatisfaction over candidate selection, particularly among the Thakur community, played a crucial role in the party’s poor showing. Despite efforts by Yogi Adityanath to mediate, the rift remained unresolved.

As a result, the BJP managed to win only 13 out of 26 seats in Western UP, a sharp decline from the 18 seats it had secured in 2019. This internal strife within the BJP has raised concerns about the party's ability to manage its factionalism and maintain electoral dominance in the region.

The BJP has now initiated an internal review process to understand the reasons behind its disappointing performance. State BJP President Bhupendra Chaudhary has formed a committee to investigate the significant loss of seats and identify the factors contributing to the party’s electoral setbacks. The party aims to address these issues and rebuild its strength in the region ahead of future elections.

Thursday, June 6, 2024

Why Faizabad was lost Despite Ram Temple –by Anupam Srivastava

Why Faizabad was lost Despite Ram Temple –by Anupam Srivastava 


Despite coming up of Ram Temple Bharatiya Janata Party Candidate Lallu Singh  lost the seat of Ayodhya to Samajwadi Party (SP) candidate Awadhesh Prasad by a margin of 54,567 votes.  

It was a matter of  BJP losing it rather than Samajwadi party winning it. Lallu Singhs statement about Changing the constitution , brought him limelight but ensured that he lost the support of Dalits who are emotionally wedded to the constitution because it is written by none other than their icon Baba Saheb Bhimrao Ambedkar.  

Lallu Singh's controversial remarks about changing the Indian Constitution were so  damaging that they alienated a substantial segment of Dalit voters who hold the Constitution in high regard, especially since it was drafted by Dr. B.R. Ambedkar, a revered figure amongst the Dalits. This statement resulted in loss of all seats for BJP in entire Faizabad division. 

The statements which are made without usinmg grey matter may jolt you with results like this.   

The victory of Samajwadi party is particularly significant given the fact that the temple's consecration did not translate into electoral success BJP. Residents of Ayodhya, demonstrated that despite delivering the promises if you are not polite then people are ready to discard you. Sandeep Singh a local businessman said , “ We have changed the man, who wanted to change the constitution. You can see arrogance will not be tolerated , the BJP never bothered to chek when officials of district administration were treating the common shopkeepers badly, when they  cited their economic hardships and displacement caused by the temple's construction. They could have been dealt politely and in a better way.” 

During the BJP regime the bureaucracy has gone berserk. Now people are in no mood to let it go. Now after taking 10 years of arrogance they have decided to punish the officials by displacing BJP with SP. Just remember people are in no mood to forgive corrupt and arrogant officials. 

Its  only the second time the SP has won the Faizabad seat, with the last win was in 1998 by Mitrasen Yadav.  

Another key factor in this victory was the strategic slogan "Na Mathura na Kashi, Abki Baar Awadhesh Pasi," which resonated deeply not only with the Dalit community in Faizabad but also got the support of other upper caste and Muslims. This move by Akhilesh Yadav was seen as a masterstroke, as it consolidated votes from Dalits, other backward classes, and the traditional Yadav-Muslim vote bank, ensuring Prasad's success. 

Additionally, anti-incumbency sentiment against Lallu Singh significantly influenced the election outcome. 

Many voters felt that Singh's work primarily benefited outsiders rather than the local population. His controversial statements about altering the Constitution further alienated voters. Dalit voter Ram Sumer remarked, "Singh's work benefited outsiders more than the local populace, and his controversial statements about changing the Constitution alienated many voters." 

This electoral setback may serves as a wake-up call for the BJP, highlighting the need for humility and sensitivity in governance. The officials must recognize that they are public servants, not benefactors, and must treat residents with respect and consideration. Singh's defeat not only disrupts the BJP's dominance in the region but also suggests a potential shift in the political dynamics of Ayodhya and Faizabad. 

This landmark win underscores the opposition's ability to mobilize diverse voter groups and demonstrates the significance of strategic candidate selection and community engagement in Indian electoral politics. It highlights the importance of maintaining a respectful and inclusive approach towards all sections of society, a lesson the BJP will need to heed as it navigates future electoral challenges. 


 


For political students  the Ayodhya election serves as a poignant reminder that even the most celebrated achievements can be rendered moot by a lack of sensitivity and respect for the electorate. The SP's victory is a testament to the power of strategic political maneuvering and the electorate's desire for leaders who genuinely understand and address their concerns. 


Besides proving that development alone can't guarantee success in elections, this result highlights the critical importance of choice of words and behavior when addressing gatherings. It demonstrates that arrogance and insensitive remarks can alienate voters, even in the face of significant achievements. Additionally, it underscores the necessity of controlling the bureaucracy and ensuring that officials treat the public with respect and empathy. Failure to do so can lead to significant electoral setbacks, as seen in the recent Ayodhya election, where Lallu Singh's missteps overshadowed the BJP's accomplishments and paved the way for the SP's victory.

Thursday, December 12, 2013

MY Views : Dissecting AAM AADMI


Views: Dissecting AAM AADMI by Anupam Srivastava, 

The success of Aam AAdmi party is over hyped by media. It seems media has gone overboard because of a former ‘babu’ taking on the politicians.
However Kejriwal’s credentials are yet to be tested as a politician. It is very easy to demolish anyone with words like he done to Sheila Dixit. But it was Dixit who toiled for Dehlites for 15 years but lost in a battle to Kejriwal badly , not because she was not doing work in her constituency, not because there was no development but she lost because she was not able to act against corrupt ministers in her cabinet, she was not able to raise her voice against the scams like MCD, Jal Board and CWG. She lost because of failure of centre to maintain law and order in Delhi because of which people started calling Delhi a rape capital. Sheila also paid a price for not having courage to stand up against the congress leadership when they were raising prices of all the essential commodities, vegetables, ration, petrol, diesel,. She also suffered due her habit of ignoring the strength of opposition. Sheila kept on saying she done this ,she done that for Delhi , but she forgotten, people know what she has done, actually people wanted her to know that what she has not done for them through their vote. 
However credit goes to Kejriwal who raised these issues at an appropriate time. But what has been the contribution of Kejriwal for Delhi ??? he never given any chance to voters to think about that. His campaign was so scientifically designed that voters danced to the tunes of his band. His rock shows were innovative, his road shows were hi-tech, his cyber attack on his opponents was immaculate which never given time to Delhlites to ask him what his contribution for Delhi is????
His only contribution for Delhi was his agitation for Jan Lokpal. His contribution as RTI activist cannot be challenged. During RTI days Arvind was known to demolish his opponents which he continues to do so. His mindset has not changed till now that’s why he doesn’t see any positive among national parties like Congress or BJP. He got 30 % of votes and if congress offers unconditional support to him, he arrogantly refuses it. Before demolishing congress for corruption and other incumbency factors. he forgets that congress has run this country for 65 years. He forgets contribution of congress in freedom struggle. He also demolishes BJP but he forgets that BJP has provided a strong opposition to congress for last 10 years, BJP has run most successful of government in several states of India. 
But what is track record of AAP?? Still untested in the waters !!!! What’s the guarantee that the big honesty pledge which the MLA’s of AAP are taking would be applied in daily life. The response of AAP to the stings carried out by a web portal against their members was no different that of other political parties whose members are caught doing wrongs on camera. The act of an AAP MLA and his supporters who allegedly barged into a house of former MLA was again defended by the party. 
But media is still not taking note of these signals therefore media has became a party . Coming from media fraternity I feel surprised when I see many senior reporters 
going berserk over the success of AAP at a place which is not even a full fledged state. Yes getting 30 % votes in Delhi is not a joke but can this be applied for all over India ??? why jumping the gun?. 
Remember NTR in Andhra politics ? His entry was as grand as of Kejriwal but NTR was very popular figure before his entry in politics , he was more pouplar than Amitabh in Andhra that’s why he got such huge votes. But Kejriwal has got votes of angry voters who dumped congress like anything. But this doesn’t mean that congress cannot make a comeback or voters will always angry with congress or BJP. 
Another point that there is no guarantee that voters will continue to vote for AAP in such a big way as they have done today. Despite outstanding development work if a voter can discard Sheila Dixit for keeping silent on corruption and her failure to maintain law and order then what’s the guarantee that the voters will not punish AAP for its arrogant approach when it was offered power by congress or BJP. Why AAP hesitated in implementing its agenda for Dehlites, despite offered unconditional support. If they were not that serious about forming the government then why they contested elections. Now the case is that they are not able to come out of one man’s aura and that is Kejriwal who has emerged as a great strategist but in an arrogant way.

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

latest poem on May 5, 2010. 9.00 a.m.

Anupam Srivastava ‘Anupam’ on may 5 , 2010
Death is a poem which every one sings
Death is a romance with sparrow wings

Death I promise you an interview on meadows links
Because you are one of wonderful things

With feelings of honest pain thou heart sinks.
You are the only truth, once eyes blinks

Water, fire, earth, space and wind make life links
Every soul remains on earth only body shrinks

In the evening of life, the soul clings
Death by side, I make a fling

Brighter the day, darker the night drinks
It’s my story! Oh my death! Which my life inks ….
Which my life inks…….

my new poem written on May 5, 2010 at 9.00 a.m.

A Poem by Anupam Srivastava 'anupam'

Death is a poem which every one sings
Death is a romance with sparrow wings

Death I promise you an interview on meadows links
Because you are one of wonderful things

With feelings of honest pain thou heart sinks.You are the only truth, once eyes blinks

Water, fire, earth, space and wind make life links
Every soul remains on earth only body shrinks

In the evening of life, the soul clings
Death by side, I make a fling

Brighter the day, darker the night drinks
It’s my story! Oh my death! Which my life inks ….
Which my life inks…….